How Did Resale Condos Fare In 1H 2024?

Jean Choo Senior Research Analyst
PerspectivesJuly 17, 2024
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The resale residential property market appears to have defied the weight of the cautious sentiment and uncertainties that have so far put a drag on the new home sales segment. In 1H 2024, more than 5,300 condo units changed hands in the resale market - comparatively higher than in 2H 2023 and 1H 2023, which saw 5,055 condo units and 5,178 condo units being resold, respectively. Meanwhile, resale prices in 1H 2024 also climbed, with the average price of resale non-landed private homes coming in at $1,698 psf in 1H 2024, up from $1,626 psf in 2023 and $1,514 psf in 2022.

PropNex looked at the most profitable condominium projects and districts in the resale market in 1H 2024, ranking the top 10 best-performing projects and districts according to their gross profits. First, some details about the methodology which entails a comparison of resales caveats. The gains garnered for the units were derived by matching the condo resale transactions in 2024 with their previous purchase prices according to caveats lodged. The average profit was then computed on a project basis or district basis.

Suburban condo projects dominate top 10 gainers list

In a ranking of the average profit, the top 10 projects in 1H 2024 comprised mostly Outside Central Region (OCR) projects (7 projects), followed by the Rest of Central Region (RCR) (2 projects); there was only one Core Central Region (CCR) project in the top 10 list (see Table 1).

The top 10 most profitable projects had average profits ranging from $347,000 to $526,000. These are mostly newer projects, with the oldest on the list being The Bayshore which was completed in 1996. Unsurprisingly, most of the projects that made the top 10 list are developments that have desirable location or physical attributes, such as being in the city or city fringe (D'Leedon, Eight Riversuites, Parc Esta), near a waterbody (Q Bay Residences, Lakeville, The Bayshore) or close to an MRT station (Botanique at Bartley, D'nest).

Table 1: Top 10 resale condo projects^ in terms of average gross profit* in 1H 2024

Project NameYear CompletedRegionResale VolumeAverage Profit gained per resale transaction^Average Annualised Profit*
D'LEEDON2014CCR38$526,4472.90%
THE MINTON2013OCR36$521,3965.39%
BOTANIQUE AT BARTLEY2019OCR21$485,1525.15%
THE PALETTE2015OCR27$482,4124.79%
THE BAYSHORE1996OCR20$446,8263.77%
PARC ESTA2022RCR43$413,4386.14%
LAKEVILLE2017OCR21$368,7543.62%
D'NEST2017OCR20$355,9414.18%
EIGHT RIVERSUITES2016RCR23$349,0163.51%
Q BAY RESIDENCES2016OCR20$347,3223.88%
Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis
^projects with fewer than 20 transactions in the month are excluded from this analysis*Gains are derived from the resale transaction for each unit against the unit's last caveated transaction; the average profit is determined on the profits of all resale transactions in the development which occurred during the month. The profit reflected is gross - it has not accounted for the applicable seller's stamp duties, interest payable, taxes and other relevant divestment costs. #Annualised gains is the compounded annual rate of return which shows the rate of return over the time period between the point of resale and the property's last caveated transaction, expressed in annual percentage terms. The formula for determining this is simply: [(current resale price) / (purchase price)] time period in years-1 Analysis was done based on available data from URA Realis

The most profitable project, D'Leedon, a city centre condominium project in District 10, recorded 38 resale transactions in 1H 2024, achieving gains of $526,000 on average for each transaction. The project is known for its contemporary wavy silhouette designed by internationally-renowned architect Zaha Hadid. At over 36-storeys high, D'Leedon is one of the tallest developments in the surrounding low-rise estate, giving residents panoramic views over the nearby Botanic Gardens.

Newer condo projects most popular amongst resale buyers in 1H 2024

With rising prices of new suburban homes in 2024, buyers continued to dip into the resale market to purchase homes at more affordable price points. In 1H 2024, by ranking the projects in terms of resale volume, the top 10 transacted projects comprised a number of OCR projects (see Table 2). Many of these projects are almost brand-new and are mostly in good physical condition - a plus for owner occupiers looking to move in quickly.

In terms of gains, the popular projects pale in comparison to the top 10 most profitable projects (in Table 1 above), since many of them were recently-built and have been purchased at higher entry prices compared with the older projects. Furthermore, most of them likely had shorter holding periods, which offered a shorter runway for values to appreciate.

Table 2: Top 10 resale condo projects^ in terms of number of units transacted in 1H 2024

Project NameYear CompletedRegionResale VolumeAverage Profit gained per resale transaction^Average Annualized Profit*
TREASURE AT TAMPINES2023OCR80$275,0385.7%
STIRLING RESIDENCES2022CCR45$285,5284.6%
PARC ESTA2022RCR43$413,4386.1%
D'LEEDON2014CCR38$526,4472.9%
THE MINTON2013OCR36$521,3965.4%
JADESCAPE2022RCR33$318,4205.7%
SIMS URBAN OASIS2017

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